The prospect of higher temperatures, longer droughts, more floods and worse bush fires within 50 years could be the consequences of underestimating the level of greenhouse gases.
A study released yesterday by the Nature Conservation Council of NSW, Greenpeace and the Climate Action Network warns of a dire future for farmers unless greenhouse gases are dramatically reduced.
The study uses CSIRO research to back up its findings. How much credence we should give the findings, given the political agenda of its backers, is debatable but there’s little doubt any climate change will impact more severely on the farming sector than anywhere else.
The study predicts drought and flood will occur twice as frequently throughout NSW and the central northern areas of the State will be at increased risk of salinisation.
Temperatures in and around Dubbo are predicted to increase by about 1.9 degrees Celsius by 2050 unless there are changes to greenhouse levels.
The study is designed to provoke farmers into political action. The conservation council says farmers should be demanding a greater commitment from governments to reduce greenhouse gases.
Climate change will cause greater competition between farmers for decreasing water supplies and productive lands, the council says.
Depending on what sort of season we’re experiencing just about everyone will tell you the weather is changing: the summers are getting hotter and more humid, storms are more severe and traditional rain patterns are altering.
Today we know a lot more about the influences on our weather. We can predict with a reasonable degree of accuracy what will happen during El Nino and Il Nino influences.
Looking 50 years into the future is something else. This study could and might be easily dismissed as more propaganda from the Green movement.
But what if it isn’t? Action taken now may well safeguard us from the devastating consequences of climate change.
This article first appeared in Hangzhou Night Net.Read more